
In a blistering political rebuke, COTU Secretary-General Francis Atwoli has dismissed the opposition’s Western Kenya charm offensive as a doomed effort — unless it secures the backing of key regional power brokers, including himself.
Addressing a press briefing on Thursday, Atwoli tore into opposition leaders Gachagua and Kalonzo Musyoka, branding their tour across the region as “an exercise in futility” without the support of Raila Odinga, Musalia Mudavadi, Moses Wetang’ula, and himself.
“Tell Gachagu, Kalonzo: as long as our in-law Raila Odinga, Moses Wetang’ula, Musalia Mudavadi, and myself are not with you, you cannot win Western Kenya,” he warned, asserting that “Mulembe Nation has its owners.”
Atwoli’s statement underscores the influence of Western Kenya’s estimated 2.2 million votes across counties such as Kakamega, Bungoma, Vihiga, Busia, and Trans‑Nzoia — a voting bloc he insists remains firmly aligned behind regional elites.

Why This Matters.
1. Opposition Knocked Off CourseAtwoli’s words target the core of the opposition’s 2027 strategy, lambasting their Western Kenya engagement as incomplete and ill‑fated without wider regional endorsement.
2. Power Brokers Speak LoudestBy highlighting the role of raila, Mudavadi, Wetang’ula, and himself, Atwoli reinforces the dominance of traditional regional gatekeepers in dictating the political direction of Western Kenya.
3. Coalition Crisis LoomsThe opposition’s alliance — featuring Gachagua, Kalonzo, Governor Natembeya, Fred Matiang’i, Eugene Wamalwa, and Justin Muturi — faces a test of survival amid internal and external pressure.
What’s at Stake for 2027Electoral dominance in Western Kenya could hinge on these power syndicates. Without cohesive support, Atwoli claims, opposition efforts are destined to fail.
Opposition leaders will be forced to respond: Do they bend to appease Atwoli’s faction, or risk alienating the region’s voting base? Political calculations will intensify: Will future alliances comply with Atwoli’s demand, or shift toward alternative bases of influence?
What Happens Next.
Opposition teams are expected to either attempt negotiations with Atwoli’s bloc or double down on independent grassroots messaging.
Analysts warn: Western Kenya may become the battleground that defines national power dynamics in 2027 — with Atwoli claiming a kingmaker role.Any refusal from opposition leaders could trigger a deeper political schism — potentially splintering their national appeal.
Atwoli’s declaration lands like a political bombshell: Western Kenya’s votes, he suggests, are not up for grabs — at least not without his blessing.
As opposition leaders chart a path to 2027, they face a stark choice: submit to the region’s gatekeepers — or gamble on a future without its electoral heartland.