Wamuzi News Ke
A captivating political turn has remarkably transformed Kenya’s ruling coalition strategy. The widely discussed agreement that some had described as an effective alliance between President William Ruto and KANU leader Gideon Moi—the latter being a probable factor in the 2027 elections—has totally been put into question.
Currently, the same insiders who were earlier enthusiastic about the agreement are saying it was not completely there and is now falling apart owing to deepening political tensions and strategic recalibrations.
The rumored deal, which was first reported through a series of leaks after a very publicized meeting held at Moi’s Kabarak home in October 2025, had been perceived by political players as Ruto’s attempt to secure votes in the Rift Valley and make bands of the historic KANU base his own through the Kenya Kwanza coalition.
The timing of when Gideon Moi’s name was missing from the Baringo Senate seat nomination list and his later decision to pull out of the race altogether coincided with the rumors of a larger political agreement with the president.
Nevertheless, a range of sources is now claiming that the agreement, which was widely promoted, does not contain any clear definitions, formal endorsements, or commitments on the sharing of power—and it might have just been a tactical conversation rather than a binding political agreement.
High-ranking KANU officials, who wished to remain anonymous, characterized the supposed agreement as a “mischaracterization” that was blown up by political operators and media narratives rather than a strong consensus between the two sides.
The critics of the arrangement describe Ruto’s overtures to Moi as having detached important sections of the opposition and raised alarms among the grassroots leaders of both the parties, who feel not only excluded but also left out of the whole process.
Some analysts are already viewing this event as a sign of widespread discontent within the Kenya Kwanza coalition, where different groups with their own interests are opposing what they consider an opportunistic alliance with a party whose legacy and support base have already lost the power and influence that they exercised in the past.
The end of the so-called deal may well bring about a reshuffle in the local political contests, especially in the Rift Valley, where KANU’s historical roots once ensured a decisive influence.
The two parties are also gearing up for an election season very likely to put loyalty and strategic alliances to the test; this development may further complicate Ruto’s endeavor to build a support base that is wider than his core base.
