
Kenya’s political landscape is facing a major realignment as the Mulembe Nation signals a dramatic shift away from both President William Ruto and opposition leader Raila Odinga, shaking the foundations of traditional alliances ahead of the 2027 general elections.
Gachagua Courts Western Kenya.
Former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua has launched a bold campaign to woo Western Kenya’s influential voting bloc, urging the region to abandon its long-standing ties to Raila Odinga.
In a series of public appearances and closed-door meetings, Gachagua is positioning himself as the new political ally for the region, calling for a fresh alliance that centers the region’s interests.

He accused the current government of betraying Western Kenya, claiming that promises made during the 2022 campaigns—especially regarding Cabinet and government appointments—were never fulfilled.
According to Gachagua, the region was guaranteed a 30% stake in government but has instead received far less, leading to growing discontent among residents and leaders.
Mudavadi’s Grip Weakens.
Prime Cabinet Secretary Musalia Mudavadi, once seen as the undisputed leader of the Luhya community, is now facing unprecedented political pressure. His merger of the Amani National Congress with President Ruto’s UDA has alienated segments of his traditional base, who feel sidelined and underrepresented.
There is a growing perception within the region that Mudavadi has become more of a ceremonial figure in government rather than a power broker with influence over policy or appointments.
This vacuum has opened the door for other leaders to rise—including vocal governors and newly energized MPs seeking to capitalize on the shift.
Raila’s Western Base Cracks.
The Mulembe Nation has historically been a loyal pillar of Raila Odinga’s support base. But recent developments—including Raila’s working relationship with Ruto in a push for a broad-based government—have created uncertainty among his grassroots supporters.Many Western leaders now feel the region’s political future is being determined without their input.
This sentiment is fueling a new wave of activism and self-determination, with calls for the community to chart an independent political course, free from the shadow of national party bosses.
2027 Election Chessboard Rewritten.
With over 2.6 million registered voters, the Mulembe Nation is one of Kenya’s most critical voting blocs. A united or even semi-autonomous Western Kenya could become the ultimate kingmaker in 2027, reshaping political strategies for both Kenya Kwanza and any emerging opposition coalition.
Political analysts warn that ignoring the shifting tides in Western Kenya would be a mistake for any major player. The region’s political temperature is rising fast, and the traditional loyalties that once anchored national campaigns are quickly dissolving.