The Senate is preparing to tackle the impeachment case against Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua. The political ramifications of his potential acquittal are becoming a focal point for analysts.
Politicians are also closely observing these ramifications. Observers suggest that if Gachagua evades the alleged “political guillotine,” it reshapes Kenya’s political landscape significantly. This change can be particularly impactful in the Mt Kenya region.
Potential Outcomes of Acquittal
An acquittal by the Senate or the courts renew Gachagua’s political mandate. It potentially revitalizes his support base. He is gearing up for a challenging battle for control over Mt Kenya. Nonetheless, seasoned politicians from the region are skeptical about his ability to function effectively in the Ruto administration. The relationship between Gachagua and President William Ruto is deteriorating. Former Subukia MP Koigi wa Wamwere has indicated that Ruto wants to oust his deputy. This action politically marginalizes Gachagua.
Lack of Broad Support
The impeachment motion in the National Assembly received overwhelming support. There were 281 votes in favor versus 44 against. This highlights Gachagua’s lack of backing from leaders across the country. Former Molo MP Njenga Mungai cautions against isolating the Mt Kenya region. He urges Gachagua and his allies to consider the broader national context. He emphasizes the need for a new generation of leadership capable of uniting various Kenyan communities.
Mungai also points out that Gachagua’s current predicament is largely self-inflicted. He suggests a reconsideration of political strategies. This would help avoid creating divisions between the government and the residents of Mt Kenya.
Political Isolation and Future Challenges
Kabue Mathenge, a political commentator, warns that the political consequences for Ruto are significant. This is true regardless of the outcome of the impeachment proceedings. The political landscape in Mt Kenya has shifted against Ruto. Economic challenges and Gachagua’s political troubles drive this shift. These issues have heightened feelings of betrayal among constituents.
If Gachagua survives the impeachment, he still faces isolation within the government. Reports show he has been excluded from key government operations. He has also been denied access to the President’s itinerary. Former Bahati MP Kimani Ngunjiri predicts that Gachagua ultimately resign. If he is cut off from government activities, he feel compelled to leave. His allies are also facing pressure.
The Broader Political Landscape
The current political turmoil surrounding Gachagua starts a fierce political duel in the Mt Kenya region. This situation is reminiscent of past political struggles. The National Assembly’s approval of the impeachment motion has set the stage for a Senate hearing. This Senate hearing decides Gachagua’s political fate.
As the situation unfolds, we will see how Gachagua’s survival or downfall impacts the political dynamics in Kenya. This is particularly important with the 2027 elections on the horizon. The Mt Kenya region will experience a new alliance or further fragmentation. This reshapes the political landscape. It will force Ruto to seek new alliances in traditionally opposition strongholds.
