Wamuzi News Ke
As the 2027 general election looms, it is increasingly clear that the United Democratic Alliance (UDA) stands to gain significantly from a deeper, more structured partnership with the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM).
What might look like an ideological compromise is, in reality, a shrewd political strategy with long-term advantages.
Here’s why UDA should double down on working with ODM:
1. Financial Strength and Resource Consolidation.
UDA and ODM currently receive a lion’s share of the Political Parties Fund. For example, in the 2025/26 financial year, UDA is set to receive over Ksh 789 million, while ODM will get more than Ksh 421 million. By collaborating, UDA can leverage ODM’s grassroots structures more effectively, maximizing the political mileage of this funding. Joint operations could lower campaign costs per region and strengthen outreach.
2. Inclusive National Narrative and Unity.
President William Ruto has publicly framed the UDA–ODM pact as a move for national unity, not merely political gain. ODM leaders and officials, such as Governor Gladys Wanga, emphasize that the deal is particularly beneficial for youth, women, and marginalized communities.
A united front could help UDA soften criticisms that it is too narrow or regionally concentrated, projecting a more inclusive, national governance agenda.
3. Strategic Electoral Alliance for Key Regions.
Some ODM MPs from Nyanza have hinted at supporting UDA’s president for 2027, signaling a potential coalition. A formal or semi-formal alliance could help UDA penetrate Nyanza — a region traditionally dominated by ODM — giving it a stronger position across different political geographies.
4. Strengthening Political Stability and Policy Continuity.
The Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) signed by UDA and ODM is designed not just for campaign politics, but for governance: addressing youth unemployment, corruption, devolution, and national cohesion. Working closely now allows UDA to build stable institutions and a policy framework ahead of 2027, avoiding the volatility that comes with last-minute coalitions.
5. Broadening the Leadership Base.
According to political commentary, a potential UDA–ODM ticket could be more balanced and appealing. Professionals are already talking about combining UDA’s leadership with ODM figures, such as Homa Bay Governor Gladys Wanga, to create gender and regional balance. Senator Tom Ojienda also floated the possibility of ODM delivering a deputy president or other high-profile role in a future UDA-led ticket. This kind of ticket could resonate broadly with voters looking for unity, representation, and progressive leadership.
6. Long-Term Political Security.
Soy MP David Kiplagat recently argued that UDA’s long-term success hinges on keeping ODM united. Rather than seeing ODM as a short-term partner, UDA can invest in a sustainable alliance — one that could last beyond 2027 and help stabilize political competition.Given the strength and organizational capacity of ODM, excluding them risks giving other opposition coalitions a clearer shot at assembling a formidable counterweight.
7. Public Legitimacy and Governing Credibility.
For many Kenyans, the political pact signals maturity: instead of zero-sum contestation, UDA and ODM are choosing collaboration for the national good.This could strengthen UDA’s appeal among centrist and undecided voters who increasingly demand policy-driven governance rather than personality politics.
Risks and Considerations.
Of course, this strategy is not without risks:Some ODM members insist the current pact is only valid until 2027 and have not committed to a future coalition beyond that. There is potential for internal dissent on both sides. UDA risks alienating hardliners who oppose such a broad alliance, while ODM must manage expectations about leadership roles.
Critics argue the pact could weaken parliamentary opposition, reducing checks and balances. There’s also the challenge of institutionalizing the alliance in a way that survives internal party changes and personalities.
Despite the risks, the strategic benefits for UDA of working closely with ODM are powerful. From financial gains, regional expansion, and deeper legitimacy, to crafting an inclusive national vision — the advantages are significant.
If UDA leverages this alliance well, it could secure not only a second term in 2027 but also construct a more stable, unified political platform that reshapes Kenyan politics for the long term.
